Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 87.107494 97.208410 107.475135 118.660686 130.473989 142.551182 155.803218
2025-10-19 70.949102 85.527862 100.950284 118.356268 137.336995 157.300225 179.779310
2025-10-26 60.701844 77.700751 96.234877 117.689704 141.605887 167.236165 196.576876
2025-11-02 53.571741 72.382544 93.444472 118.353295 146.623341 177.374098 213.029929
2025-11-09 46.885542 66.848411 89.785648 117.462992 149.393839 184.589732 225.857484
2025-11-16 41.831124 62.753102 87.374423 117.622880 153.021436 192.482820 239.186453
2025-11-23 36.832749 58.286480 84.162403 116.526251 154.928735 198.201801 249.867550
2025-11-30 33.731303 55.931674 83.278677 117.995248 159.656103 207.006123 263.931610
2025-12-07 31.131288 54.003524 82.747001 119.741027 164.589943 215.955870 278.087051
2025-12-14 27.575575 50.523486 80.054597 118.669677 166.027175 220.732087 287.348371
2025-12-21 23.976178 46.691183 76.688361 116.574985 166.078658 223.762365 294.482319
2025-12-28 23.171376 46.735996 78.312802 120.688400 173.621509 235.588759 311.832657
2026-01-04 21.741515 45.796934 78.609213 123.129261 179.164931 245.120864 326.609409
2026-01-11 19.333331 43.217328 76.581402 122.505035 180.874465 250.052470 335.969617
2026-01-18 17.157074 40.800424 74.637951 121.878248 182.491924 254.805078 345.062010
2026-01-25 15.589382 39.208094 73.741992 122.546050 185.669296 261.392865 356.295629
2026-02-01 13.695588 36.905177 71.725190 121.639595 186.795120 265.447802 364.479071
2026-02-08 12.273700 35.262146 70.562280 121.802405 189.221810 271.044180 374.471701
2026-02-15 10.648963 33.089060 68.514022 120.683986 189.948568 274.517144 381.884805
2026-02-22 9.807247 32.262070 68.411835 122.182202 194.009889 282.063002 394.181755
2026-03-01 9.095597 31.611257 68.534613 123.962509 198.418515 290.027922 406.982086
2026-03-08 7.818903 29.698882 66.636256 122.869996 199.046630 293.286594 414.070106
2026-03-15 6.468072 27.428526 64.058700 120.733686 198.240909 294.713775 418.895616